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← PADMAOIL · Padma Oil PLC.
৳203-0.59% today
📊In-depth analysis

One of Bangladesh's oldest state-controlled fuel distributors: almost debt-free, cash-rich and a steadily rising dividend payer — but most of its profit comes from interest on its cash pile, not from selling fuel.

Padma Oil is a conservative, government-majority business built for steady income: almost no debt, a huge cash cushion and a dividend that has risen every couple of years. It suits patient, income-focused investors more than those chasing fast operating growth — the key thing to understand is that its profit leans heavily on interest income and its cash flows are uneven. We judge its price against its own past pricing, similar companies, the value of its assets and its dividend; the live box beside this report shows where that lands today.

Value today

Looks cheap

Today

৳203

Rough estimate

৳577

৳462Fair range৳693

Based on its own past price levels, what similar companies trade at, the value of what it owns and the dividend it pays. · low confidence

  • Its own usual price vs profit৳356
  • Priced like similar companies (profit)৳1,108
  • Its own usual price vs asset value৳269
  • Based on the dividend it pays৳267

A rough, educational estimate from the figures we have — not a price target or advice.

Data as of 2026-07-16

The most recent yearly figures (year ended June 2025) carry an auditor's 'Qualified Opinion,' so the reported numbers should be read with some extra caution.
01

What does this company do?

Padma Oil is a roughly 50-year-old, government-majority fuel distributor — one of the country's core petroleum marketers.

Padma Oil PLC has been listed on the market since 1976, making it one of the oldest listed companies in the country — close to 50 years of history. It belongs to the Fuel & Power sector and is one of Bangladesh's main petroleum-product marketing and distribution companies, the businesses that move fuel through the country's supply chain.

It is majority government-owned: the state holds about 50.35% of the shares, with institutions holding 31.54%, the general public 16.02%, sponsors and directors 2.06%, and foreign investors just 0.03%. So this is effectively a state-controlled company in which ordinary investors are a minority.

By share count it is a small company — only about 9.82 crore shares exist, on a face value of ৳10 and a paid-up capital of ৳98.2 crore — yet over the decades it has built up very large reserves of roughly ৳2,602 crore.

02

How does it make money?

The fuel-selling operation barely breaks even; the real profit comes from interest on its enormous cash pile.

On paper Padma Oil earns its living by marketing and distributing petroleum products. But the numbers tell a surprising story. In the year ended June 2025, its income from that core work was about ৳319.5 crore, yet the profit it made directly from operations was almost nothing — an operating profit of just ৳0.53 crore. In earlier years that operating line was even slightly negative (around −৳2.9 crore in 2021 and −৳2.8 crore in 2022).

So where does the money come from? In the same year, total net profit was ৳562.9 crore — larger than its entire fuel-marketing income of ৳319.5 crore. That is only possible because most of the profit comes from outside the selling operation: mainly interest earned on the company's very large cash holdings, which stood at about ৳5,087 crore in 2025. The company's own quarterly filings confirm that profit rose because of higher non-operating income.

In plain words: think of Padma Oil less as a fuel trader and more as a business that runs a roughly break-even distribution service while sitting on a mountain of cash that quietly earns interest. That interest is the engine.

03

Is it actually making money?

Reported profit has more than doubled in five years, but it is powered by interest income, not by selling more fuel.

The headline profit trend is genuinely strong and steady. Net profit climbed from ৳228.6 crore in 2021 to ৳240.4 crore, ৳349.5 crore, ৳408.6 crore and ৳562.9 crore in 2025 — a rise of about 146% over the five years. Profit per share moved the same way, from ৳23.27 to ৳57.30, also up around 146%. There were no loss years in this window.

The caveat is the quality of that profit. As explained above, the operating profit from the actual fuel business hovered near zero every year, so the growth in reported profit is driven mainly by non-operating (interest) income rather than by selling more product. Revenue itself grew more modestly — up about 48% over the five years — and actually dipped slightly from ৳321.1 crore in 2024 to ৳319.5 crore in 2025.

So the company is clearly making money, and more of it each year. But a reader should understand this is largely the story of a growing cash pile earning interest, not of a fast-expanding fuel operation.

04

Is it financially safe?

Debt-free with a massive cash cushion, but cash flows swing wildly and the latest accounts carry an auditor's qualified opinion.

On debt, Padma Oil is about as safe as a listed company gets. Total borrowings were only about ৳18.3 crore against shareholders' equity of ৳2,700 crore in 2025 — a debt-to-equity of roughly 0.01, meaning it is effectively debt-free. Its cash holdings were huge at around ৳5,087 crore, and its equity and book value per share have grown steadily (net asset value per share rose from ৳168.41 in 2021 to ৳274.86 in 2025).

There are, however, real things to watch. Total assets (about ৳12,686 crore in 2025) are far larger than equity (৳2,700 crore), which means the company carries large liabilities that are not bank debt — mostly amounts owed to affiliated companies within the state fuel system. So not all of that cash is freely the shareholders'. And the operating cash flow is very erratic: it was ৳26.8 crore, then ৳964.2 crore, then −৳510.7 crore, then ৳626.9 crore, then −৳391.3 crore across 2021–2025, swinging between big positive and big negative even while reported profit rose.

One more flag: the auditor issued a 'Qualified Opinion' with an 'Emphasis of Matters' on the accounts for the year ended June 2025. A qualified opinion means the auditor had a specific reservation about part of the accounts, so the reported figures deserve a little extra caution.

05

How do we judge if it's fairly priced?

We weigh its price against its own past pricing, similar firms, its asset value and its dividend — the live box shows where that lands today.

Judging whether a share is fairly priced is done by comparing today's price to several anchors, without relying on any single one. The first anchor is the company's own history: over the past several years the market has typically valued this share at around 6 times its yearly profit per share, and at roughly the accounting value of its assets per share. That gives a sense of what price level has been 'normal' for this particular stock.

The other anchors are how similarly sized fuel companies are priced against their profits, the value of what Padma Oil owns per share (its net asset value was ৳274.86 per share in 2025), and the dividend it pays relative to its price. The durable inputs here are its profit per share of ৳57.30, its asset value per share of ৳274.86, and its long habit of paying a rising cash dividend.

Because the actual price moves every day, this report does not state today's price, its current profit multiple, its dividend yield or a cheap/fair/expensive verdict — those are shown in the live value box beside this report, which combines all four anchors.

Value today

Looks cheap

Today

৳203

Rough estimate

৳577

৳462Fair range৳693

Based on its own past price levels, what similar companies trade at, the value of what it owns and the dividend it pays. · low confidence

  • Its own usual price vs profit৳356
  • Priced like similar companies (profit)৳1,108
  • Its own usual price vs asset value৳269
  • Based on the dividend it pays৳267

A rough, educational estimate from the figures we have — not a price target or advice.

06

Does it reward shareholders?

A dependable, steadily rising cash dividend that uses only a small slice of profit — comfortably covered.

Dividends are one of Padma Oil's strongest points. It has paid a cash dividend every year in the record, and the amount has climbed: 125% of face value in 2021 and 2022, then 135%, 140%, and 160% in 2025. On the ৳10 face value, that latest 160% works out to ৳16.00 per share; the per-share payout rose from ৳12.50 to ৳16.00 over the five years.

The dividend also looks very safe. In 2025 the company paid ৳16.00 per share while earning ৳57.30 per share, so the dividend used only a small part of the year's profit, leaving a wide cushion. A payout that small relative to earnings is easy to maintain and leaves room to raise it further, as the company has been doing.

For an income-focused investor, this combination — a long habit of paying, a rising amount, and a comfortable cushion — is the main attraction of the stock. (The dividend yield, which depends on today's price, is shown live beside this report.)

07

What makes it special?

Its strength is a protected, cash-rich, debt-free position among the state fuel distributors — not a high-margin operating business.

Padma Oil's real edge is its position, not its operating skill. It is one of a small group of government-controlled petroleum marketers — alongside Meghna Petroleum and Jamuna Oil — that handle fuel distribution in Bangladesh. That protected role gives it stable, essential demand, a debt-free balance sheet, and an unusually large cash cushion built over nearly 50 years.

On profitability it sits comfortably among its state peers. Padma Oil earns roughly ৳20 of profit for every ৳100 of shareholders' money, close to Meghna Petroleum (about ৳22) and Jamuna Oil (about ৳21), and its latest-year profit grew strongly. These three state distributors are noticeably stronger and steadier than smaller fuel names in the sector such as MJL Bangladesh or CVO Petrochemical.

The honest caveat is that this 'edge' comes from its cash and its protected position, not from a superior selling business — the operating side barely breaks even, and as a government-run company it has limited pricing power and its margins are shaped within a regulated state system. Its strength is durability and safety, not operating brilliance.

08

Why it could do well

Safe, cash-rich, dividend-paying and steadily more profitable — a defensive, income-style holding.

  • Effectively debt-free (only about ৳18.3 crore of borrowings) with a very large cash cushion of around ৳5,087 crore, so it can easily survive a bad year.
  • Reported profit and profit per share have more than doubled over five years (up about 146%), from ৳228.6 crore to ৳562.9 crore.
  • A long, reliable and rising cash dividend — up to 160% of face value (৳16.00 per share) — that uses only a small part of profit, so it is well covered.
  • An essential, government-backed role in national fuel distribution gives it stable demand and a protected position.
  • Book value per share has risen steadily, from ৳168.41 to ৳274.86, and reserves stand at about ৳2,602 crore.
09

What could go wrong

Profit quality is the worry: interest-driven earnings, lumpy cash flow and an auditor's qualification.

  • The core fuel-selling operation barely breaks even (operating profit was just ৳0.53 crore in 2025); profit leans on interest income, which could shrink if interest rates or cash balances fall.
  • Operating cash flow is erratic and often negative — for example −৳510.7 crore in 2023 and −৳391.3 crore in 2025 — even in years of high reported profit.
  • The auditor gave a 'Qualified Opinion' with an 'Emphasis of Matters' on the year-ended-June-2025 accounts, so the figures carry a caveat.
  • Total assets (about ৳12,686 crore) far exceed equity (৳2,700 crore) because of large liabilities to affiliated state companies, so not all the cash is truly free; and as a government-majority company, minority shareholders have little say.
  • Revenue was essentially flat from 2024 to 2025 (৳321.1 crore to ৳319.5 crore), so the underlying selling business is not growing much.
10

So, is it for you?

Best suited to patient, income-focused investors who value safety over growth — provided they accept the profit-quality caveats.

Padma Oil is a conservative, defensive holding. Its appeal is safety and income: almost no debt, a huge cash cushion, decades of history, government backing, and a dividend that has been paid reliably and raised over time. That profile fits a patient, income-focused or long-term investor who wants a steady, low-drama business rather than rapid growth.

The thing to go in with eyes open about is the quality of the profit. Most of the earnings come from interest on its cash rather than from selling fuel, the operating business barely breaks even, cash flows are lumpy, and the latest accounts carry an auditor's qualified opinion. None of these are reasons to panic for a company this well-capitalised, but they do mean the reported profit should be read thoughtfully.

For a risk-taker chasing a fast-growing operating story, this is not the stock. For someone who wants a safe, cash-rich, dividend-paying anchor and understands where the profit really comes from, it is exactly the kind of business that fits. Whether the price is attractive right now is a separate question — see the live value box beside this report.

This is educational information, not investment advice. Do your own research or consult a licensed adviser before making any decision.

See price chart, financials & signals for PADMAOIL→